I often get asked, “How big is the market for Supply Chain Finance?"
Everyone talks about the growth of Supply Chain Finance (also known at Reverse Factoring or Approved Trade Payable Finance), but when I tried to get the major players to develop a League Table, very few wanted to lift their kimonos. That is unfortunate, because how can you comment on a market when you don’t have any idea of its size, only guess work from analysts and consultants based on private conversations with asset originators, mainly banks. In the past week, I fielded two calls from regional banks trying to understand the size of this market.
Tat Yeen Yap，产品管理，贸易服务和金融负责人，苏区一般，评论，
Iguess the key problem is that market estimates are based on surveys and anecdotal inputs.
BCR出版在其世界供应链财务报告2015年估计使用的资金（融资销售）欧元为37-490亿欧元（根据他们对2014年11月至2014年11月的SCF从业者的调查）。我将此与AIT组产生的ACCA报告进行比较，估计市场规模的逆转定容为255-280亿美元之间 - 我猜他们意味着一年内的批量。如果我们遵守平均融资的假设60天，平均融资销售约为450亿美元。
McKinsey mentions $2 trillion of ‘financeable highly secure payables globally’ and a potential revenue pool of $20 billion, and a current SCF revenues of $2 billion. I find the figures hard to makes sense of – what is the factor they use on payables to derive their estimated revenues.. potential revenue of $20 billion is 1% of $2 trillion, and if 1% was the financing margin assumed, that would mean an average of $2 trillion of balance sheet for financing!
我正在和银行家谈话（愿意仍未命名），他认为跨境反向理论计划与国内百分比的资产百分比小得多。他认为，大多数这些计划是国内（即巴西买家有巴西供应商的买家）。通过国内，他们更容易预订，了解您的客户等。
问题是我们只是不知道，因为没有分享此数据。目前，银行有奢侈品能够分配到地区银行的任何所需能力，他们都存入丰富，资产饥饿，并且没有销售本产品的起源能力。因此，他们帮助资助这些程序起源于喜欢的Citibank,jpmorga.n，或者Primerevenue.. But recently, the insurance industry received approval to invest in these assets, opening up another huge source of capital looking for short term, fixed income yield –seeInsurers now free to invest in Trade Finance Receivables.
I understand at a minimum we would need the following conditions:
- 匿名数据（由于许多银行未提供另有规定，需要保持匿名）
- Transparent, auditable process (ie, onsite verification)
- Specific product definition
These programs can be defined and what needs to be done is to have an audited发货后Buyer Approved Invoicedata for market sizing. How can a secondary market be established without proper market sizing? If a large originating bank like Citibank or HSBC has a hold level of X% (say 90%) and they can originate 120%, they need to sell 30%. Banks are typically limited to selling to other banks, so an expanded secondary market with more transparent data is important. Or else this just becomes a private placement market.
一位供应商告诉我银行不会想要市场知道他们的部署尤其是在谈论信用利用时的限制。例如，他提到了欧洲的汽车制造商部署了欧洲银行和12个月后，他们有0个供应商运作。
I think the market could greatly benefit by this data and transparency. Otherwise we continue to guess growth and overall market size by region.
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